Chile's runoff election

The English-language press is having some trouble figuring out today's runoff election in Chile.  Pinochet is a factor (such as the kerfuffle about whether Pinochet-era officials should be included in a Piñera cabinet) or isn't.  The country is moving rightward, or isn't.  A win by Sebastián Piñera would mean change, or wouldn't.

Accordingly, my prediction is that Piñera will win by a very slim margin.  Unless he doesn't.